Summary

micah-hanks’s Intelligence Brief column at the-debrief arguing that, under new director jon-kosloski, aaro is showing “significant signs of improvement” after a rocky tenure under sean-kirkpatrick. The piece is an analytical/opinion lens on two events the vault already documents separately — the FY2024 Annual Report (Nov 14, 2024) and the Kosloski Senate testimony (Nov 19, 2024) — framed through three claims: AARO is investigating intriguing phenomena, Kosloski has publicly described unresolved cases, and AARO openly admits it cannot explain some of its best cases. Hanks contrasts this candor with the criticism that greeted AARO’s earlier error-ridden historical record review under prior leadership.

Key Claims

  • AARO’s FY2024 report flags 21 of hundreds of new cases as meriting further analysis based on anomalous characteristics, separate from a “lacked sufficient data” bucket (AARO report).
  • Three FY2024 cases involve pilots being “trailed or shadowed” by UAP, not attributed to foreign adversaries (AARO report).
  • Kosloski told the Senate “AARO does not believe that every object is a bird, a balloon, or a UAV” and that “we do have some very anomalous objects” (Kosloski).
  • In a separate media call, Kosloski said AARO is working with partners to downgrade “several particularly interesting cases” so they can be discussed publicly (Kosloski media call).
  • Hanks’s editorial verdict: Kosloski’s posture is a “notable shift” and AARO leadership/approach is improving versus the Kirkpatrick-era historical report (Hanks).

Notable Quotes

“To be clear, AARO does not believe that every object is a bird, a balloon, or a UAV… we do have some very anomalous objects.” — jon-kosloski, Senate hearing

“There are interesting cases that I, with my physics and engineering background and time in the IC, I do not understand. And I don’t know anybody else who understands them either.” — jon-kosloski, media call

“A stationary object that large — unless it’s a blimp — is unusual. But its sudden disappearance is something we can’t explain.” — jon-kosloski (Southwest cylinder case)